Cambios en los peligros de inundaciónaportaciones de los estudios de paleocrecidas

  1. Benito, Gerardo 1
  2. Ballesteros-Cánovas, Juan Antonio 1
  3. Bartolomé, Miguel 1
  4. Corella, Juan Pablo 1
  5. Grodek, Tamir 2
  6. Machado, Maria J. 1
  7. Medialdea, Alicia 3
  8. Muñoz-Torrero, Alberto 1
  9. Sánchez-Moya, Yolanda 4
  10. Tejedor, Ernesto 1
  1. 1 Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales
    info
    Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales

    Madrid, España

    ROR https://ror.org/02v6zg374

    Geographic location of the organization Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales
  2. 2 Hebrew University of Jerusalem
    info
    Hebrew University of Jerusalem

    Jerusalén, Israel

    ROR https://ror.org/03qxff017

    Geographic location of the organization Hebrew University of Jerusalem
  3. 3 National Research Centre on Human Evolution (CENIEH)
  4. 4 Universidad Complutense de Madrid
    info
    Universidad Complutense de Madrid

    Madrid, España

    ROR https://ror.org/02p0gd045

    Geographic location of the organization Universidad Complutense de Madrid
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Journal:
Estudios geológicos

ISSN: 0367-0449

Year of publication: 2025

Volume: 81

Issue: 2

Type: Article

DOI: 10.3989/EGEOL.45727.1135 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openOpen access editor

More publications in: Estudios geológicos

Abstract

Climate models predict an increase in extreme hydrological events (droughts and floods) as global temperatures respond to anthropogenic increases in greenhouse gases. This change in the pattern of extreme events due to global climate change raises uncertainties in assessing the risk of future droughts and floods. Conventionally, this problem has been addressed from a “top-down” approach based on downscaling of climate models. The development of this approach generates a high uncertainty that, in practice, does not allow determining in a reasonable and operational manner the magnitude of the change. Recently, it has been proposed to move towards a “bottom-up” approach of progressive adaptation to change based on the experience of recent events. It is assumed that future climate change will not create entirely new types of extreme weather events that have never before occurred on the planet. In this work, we review the main paleo-records (geological and botanical), which allow us to characterize and quantify hydrological extremes and their relation to climate variability at multi-decadal and secular time scales. This information is relevant to advance in the adaptation to extreme events in the context of climate change, particularly in the design of infrastructures, urbanism and territorial planning.

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Data source: Dialnet